Scientists Predict the Number of Term Paper

S. hurricane season may be greater than average this year, with a higher probability of at least one hurricane touching land.

It is also interesting to note that Klotzbach and Gray have altered the model and predictors used to predict the upcoming hurricane season, and the 2007 season was the first season predicted using this new model. The model uses temperature, atmospheric, and other weather data from the North Atlantic, Extreme North Atlantic, and the Subtropical Northeast Pacific regions to predict what will happen during the upcoming hurricane season, and using this data to predict prior years information has been very accurate (Klotzbach and Gray 12-15). Thus, the new prediction for the upcoming hurricane season may be one of the most accurate to date.

In conclusion, it is clear that predicting hurricanes is a science, and that it is also extremely difficult to forecast hurricanes totally correctly throughout the hurricane season. There are still too many variables in gathering and analyzing the data that is available.In addition, it is difficult to predict the number of hurricanes that will occur during each annual season, because of many of the same problems. Predicting hurricanes is difficult, and scientists are working on becoming even more precise so they can accurately predict where hurricanes will hit, and therefore save more lives and property damage than ever before.

References

Editors. "Forecast Process." National Hurricane Center. 2008. 29 March 2008. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/forecast_process.shtml

Editors. "Hurricane Models." National Hurricane Center. 2008. 29 March 2008. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/basics/models.shtml

Editors. "Observations." National Hurricane Center. 2008. 29 March 2008. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/forecast/observations.shtml

Klotzbach, Philip J. And Gray, William M. "Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and U.S. Landfall Strike Probability for 2008." 2007. 29 March 2008. http://typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/2007/dec2007/dec2007.pdf.....